Senior private meeting to connect local and international players and position Portugal as a real estate investment destination
ABOUT PORTUGAL GRI 2023
Much like a conversation in your own living room, the deal flow discussions’ exclusive format throughout two days allow you to interact and engage freely among peers. Find the right partners for your business, build valuable relationships, and keep the conversation going.
Portugal GRI is a gathering in Lisbon for senior asset owners, developers, investors, lenders, experts, active in the Portuguese and European real estate markets.
Unique Format
Program
Macroeconomic Outlook
Resilient so far, but will it last in these troubled times?
- Growth After the Rebound – Will growth in Portugal remain above the Eurozone?
- Families and Businesses – Better placed to face challenges ahead?
- Inflation – How persistent will it be?
- Public Accounts – Will fiscal policy remain prudent or take advantage of the margin?
- External Accounts – The mirror of structural improvement?
- Conclusions and Main Risks
Rented Living Segments
Less dispersed and more institutionalized offers or difficult scale and attraction of investors?
Rented Living Segments
Less dispersed and more institutionalized offers or difficult scale and attraction of investors?
- Early Stages - Exciting growth and transaction volumes opportunities?
- Land Availability & Construction Costs - Scarcity and pricing constraints, or market fundamentals to rely on?
- New Entrants - Competitive landscape to change and more products to come soon?
- Future Highlights - Tight margins and regulation to affect deals liquidity?
Shopping & Retail
Standing out with new transactions and entrants or selective deals for just a few?
- Investment Deals - Investments lagging affecting deals, or yields keeping a positive trend?
- Transactions - Does the market need to settle more before we see new capital allocation strategies?
- Price Expectations & Financing - Spike of distressed assets? How much reduction of debt level is pushing on sales?
- Innovation Rearrangement - Innovative practices into high streets and shopping malls in on-off retail experience?
Financing
Players well capitalized across the capital stack or not everyone happy with riskier positions?
Financing
Players well capitalized across the capital stack or not everyone happy with riskier positions?
- Turbulent time knocking at the door or adequate profitability for the brave?
- Banks - What's left with less appetite for riskier positions?
- Alternative Lenders - To play a leading role from senior lending to opportunistic?
- Key Driver - Where interest rates and property values will land?
International Investors
Consistency and steady flow of investments or less robustness of realization?
- Is Portugal comparatively well positioned among peers?
- Compressed Yields - Most sought-after asset classes remained competitive compared to other major European markets?
- Equity and Debt - New investments and refinancing for development highlights
- Values Adjustments - Higher interest rates and pricing changes, investors rotating back to new positions?
- Will the growing real estate complexity and rules bring new opportunities to Portugal?
Light Industrial & Logistics
Tenacious deals or slowdown of activities with entry prices and yield changes?
Hospitality
Greater intensity of investment deals in new locations or hidden spots already taken?
- Hospitality Performance - Are accelerating hotels fundamentals and macroeconomic headwinds underpinning strong investment opportunity?
- Investment Opportunities - Re-emergence of international travel, new opportunities for cross-border hotel investment in the country?
- Cap-ex and Returns - Hurdles with obsolete properties that are not suitable candidates, what’s the quality level trade-off?
- Redefining Hospitality - Are players ready to perform on travel experience of short and long stays while outperforming on brand awareness/differentiation, new products and innovation?
Light Industrial & Logistics
Tenacious deals or slowdown of activities with entry prices and yield changes?
- Investment Volumes - To keep the pace with big and tenacious deals?
- Market Transactions & Deals - Competition compressing yield strategies or high-quality products to sustain virtuous growth?
- Development & Rental Market - Will prices in key markets continue a positive trend?
- New Locations & Bets - Getting more ground with pricing disparities?
American Capital
Ready for soft landing and entry points or transaction volumes not there yet?
- Market Fundamentals - What drivers are investors relying on?
- Portfolio Diversification - Shifts in assets, what to expect from a new position in a new country?
- Prime Locations - Growth of new investors and competition, or high cost of capital making it difficult to access good opportunities?
- Will growing investment attraction bring new opportunities to Portugal's top cities?
Residential
Fundamental drivers sustaining growth ahead or harsh price corrections?
- Investment Opportunities - Exciting growth and transaction volumes opportunities in residential deals?
- Prices - Prime locations picking up and surging housing prices, demand and supply in-balance constraints?
- Land Availability & Costs - Market saturation standing in big cities, bigger opportunity for investment in new markets?
- New Entrants - Competitive landscape to change with fresh local and international players?
- Challenges - What to expect from the new housing government program in the future?
Offices
Core appetite with quality supply dripping through or not there yet with outdated stocks?
- Core and search for quality backing investors' confidence and new supply?
- Unbalanced demand-supply, what to expect from older stocks and secondary locations? Reconversions ahead?
- Rental and Occupational Markets - Will development deals be sustained?
- Financing - Owners to accept weaker returns and possible risks, or Portugal fundamentals backing investors' confidence?
Local Funds and Investors
Safe navigation across property values or outward shifts in yields with repricing corrections?
Local Funds and Investors
Safe navigation across property values or outward shifts in yields with repricing corrections?
- Strategies - Core preferred by investors with reevaluated low-risk investments and secured returns, or value-add/opportunistic positions rising?
- Prime Locations and Products - Safe sea or repricing corrections ahead?
- Portfolio Diversification - Shifts in assets, what to expect from new positions?
- New Entrants - More internationals and institutional operations, competitive landscape to change and new partnerships ahead?
Timetable
Macroeconomic Outlook
Resilient so far, but will it last in these troubled times?
- Growth After the Rebound – Will growth in Portugal remain above the Eurozone?
- Families and Businesses – Better placed to face challenges ahead?
- Inflation – How persistent will it be?
- Public Accounts – Will fiscal policy remain prudent or take advantage of the margin?
- External Accounts – The mirror of structural improvement?
- Conclusions and Main Risks
Rented Living Segments
Less dispersed and more institutionalized offers or difficult scale and attraction of investors?
- Early Stages - Exciting growth and transaction volumes opportunities?
- Land Availability & Construction Costs - Scarcity and pricing constraints, or market fundamentals to rely on?
- New Entrants - Competitive landscape to change and more products to come soon?
- Future Highlights - Tight margins and regulation to affect deals liquidity?
Shopping & Retail
Standing out with new transactions and entrants or selective deals for just a few?
- Investment Deals - Investments lagging affecting deals, or yields keeping a positive trend?
- Transactions - Does the market need to settle more before we see new capital allocation strategies?
- Price Expectations & Financing - Spike of distressed assets? How much reduction of debt level is pushing on sales?
- Innovation Rearrangement - Innovative practices into high streets and shopping malls in on-off retail experience?
Financing
Players well capitalized across the capital stack or not everyone happy with riskier positions?
- Turbulent time knocking at the door or adequate profitability for the brave?
- Banks - What's left with less appetite for riskier positions?
- Alternative Lenders - To play a leading role from senior lending to opportunistic?
- Key Driver - Where interest rates and property values will land?
International Investors
Consistency and steady flow of investments or less robustness of realization?
- Is Portugal comparatively well positioned among peers?
- Compressed Yields - Most sought-after asset classes remained competitive compared to other major European markets?
- Equity and Debt - New investments and refinancing for development highlights
- Values Adjustments - Higher interest rates and pricing changes, investors rotating back to new positions?
- Will the growing real estate complexity and rules bring new opportunities to Portugal?
Light Industrial & Logistics
Tenacious deals or slowdown of activities with entry prices and yield changes?
- Investment Volumes - To keep the pace with big and tenacious deals?
- Market Transactions & Deals - Competition compressing yield strategies or high-quality products to sustain virtuous growth?
- Development & Rental Market - Will prices in key markets continue a positive trend?
- New Locations & Bets - Getting more ground with pricing disparities?
Hospitality
Greater intensity of investment deals in new locations or hidden spots already taken?
- Hospitality Performance - Are accelerating hotels fundamentals and macroeconomic headwinds underpinning strong investment opportunity?
- Investment Opportunities - Re-emergence of international travel, new opportunities for cross-border hotel investment in the country?
- Cap-ex and Returns - Hurdles with obsolete properties that are not suitable candidates, what’s the quality level trade-off?
- Redefining Hospitality - Are players ready to perform on travel experience of short and long stays while outperforming on brand awareness/differentiation, new products and innovation?
American Capital
Ready for soft landing and entry points or transaction volumes not there yet?
- Market Fundamentals - What drivers are investors relying on?
- Portfolio Diversification - Shifts in assets, what to expect from a new position in a new country?
- Prime Locations - Growth of new investors and competition, or high cost of capital making it difficult to access good opportunities?
- Will growing investment attraction bring new opportunities to Portugal's top cities?
Offices
Core appetite with quality supply dripping through or not there yet with outdated stocks?
- Core and search for quality backing investors' confidence and new supply?
- Unbalanced demand-supply, what to expect from older stocks and secondary locations? Reconversions ahead?
- Rental and Occupational Markets - Will development deals be sustained?
- Financing - Owners to accept weaker returns and possible risks, or Portugal fundamentals backing investors' confidence?
Residential
Fundamental drivers sustaining growth ahead or harsh price corrections?
- Investment Opportunities - Exciting growth and transaction volumes opportunities in residential deals?
- Prices - Prime locations picking up and surging housing prices, demand and supply in-balance constraints?
- Land Availability & Costs - Market saturation standing in big cities, bigger opportunity for investment in new markets?
- New Entrants - Competitive landscape to change with fresh local and international players?
- Challenges - What to expect from the new housing government program in the future?
Local Funds and Investors
Safe navigation across property values or outward shifts in yields with repricing corrections?
- Strategies - Core preferred by investors with reevaluated low-risk investments and secured returns, or value-add/opportunistic positions rising?
- Prime Locations and Products - Safe sea or repricing corrections ahead?
- Portfolio Diversification - Shifts in assets, what to expect from new positions?
- New Entrants - More internationals and institutional operations, competitive landscape to change and new partnerships ahead?
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